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07/08/2008 08:29 AM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: Woody83
Majority of temperature increase prior to 1940. CO2 increased after 1960.
Majority of scientists reject Kyoto treaty.
Global warmers fail to prove how man has caused a problem.
Natural temperate increases and decreases over long periods, not caused by man.
Four statements - all false. Any references to back your claims?
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
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07/08/2008 09:11 AM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: Woody83
What's the point. You'll find arguments and statistics from both sides from many sources.
But you'll find little, if any, evidence published in the scientific literature to support your claims.
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
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07/08/2008 11:53 AM
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Kast

Posts: 2752
Joined: 07/29/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: Woody83
Well of course, wouldn't want to lose all that funding.
Funding for scientific research generally isn't awarded based upon the outcome of the research... unless you're a drug company, of course. It doesn't matter what scientists find, the funding for climate research will only grow in the future.
Besides, if you're talking about who has a monetary interest in the results of this research, I think it's far more logical to conclude that the corporate juggernaut and the Congresspeople elected using their lobbyists' dollars have more to lose than the handful of climate scientists and geologists and their pennies of funding. Who is more likely to support false research? And, furthermore, who is more likely to succeed at it?
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"Thanks to TV and for the convenience of TV, you can only be one of two kinds of human beings, either a liberal or a conservative." - Kurt Vonnegut
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07/08/2008 01:40 PM
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LHS92

Posts: 657
Joined: 04/05/2006
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Serious non-baiting question (just want to make that disclaimer since it appears politics, religion, and global warming are the hot button issues  )
What do we make of this?
Edited: 07/08/2008 at 01:41 PM by LHS92
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07/08/2008 03:10 PM
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Kast

Posts: 2752
Joined: 07/29/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: LHS92
Serious non-baiting question (just want to make that disclaimer since it appears politics, religion, and global warming are the hot button issues )
What do we make of this?
What about it? As I've said many times here and elsewhere, too many people get caught up in the idea that global warming is predictable and that it should be televised every time an ice sheet cracks. This isn't news meant for the 24 hour cycle.
That's why we see so many contradictory stories in the news. One day, we hear dread news about so-and-so ice sheet disappearing, while the next we hear of a new study that proves that humans little effect on the climate. In my rational opinion, it doesn't matter at all. Here's what everyone agrees on (or, at least, everyone with a brain):
(1) The carbon cycle WILL trap more heat on Earth unless we reduce carbon emissions;
(2) No one knows exactly what will happen, how quickly, or the effective magnitude
Showing one article about a disappearing ice sheet (or about an ice sheet that's slowed down) is almost completely irrelevant to the issue. Even trendlines can be faulty, but those 2 points I just made are facts. There's no reason to panic, and there's no reason to be complacent. A slow, steady march toward reducing pollution and carbon emissions is a good step, regardless of the details.
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"Thanks to TV and for the convenience of TV, you can only be one of two kinds of human beings, either a liberal or a conservative." - Kurt Vonnegut
Edited: 07/08/2008 at 03:10 PM by Kast
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07/08/2008 06:29 PM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: Kast
quote:
Originally posted by: LHS92
Serious non-baiting question (just want to make that disclaimer since it appears politics, religion, and global warming are the hot button issues )
What do we make of this?
What about it? As I've said many times here and elsewhere, too many people get caught up in the idea that global warming is predictable and that it should be televised every time an ice sheet cracks. This isn't news meant for the 24 hour cycle.
That's why we see so many contradictory stories in the news. One day, we hear dread news about so-and-so ice sheet disappearing, while the next we hear of a new study that proves that humans little effect on the climate. In my rational opinion, it doesn't matter at all. Here's what everyone agrees on (or, at least, everyone with a brain):
(1) The carbon cycle WILL trap more heat on Earth unless we reduce carbon emissions;
(2) No one knows exactly what will happen, how quickly, or the effective magnitude
Showing one article about a disappearing ice sheet (or about an ice sheet that's slowed down) is almost completely irrelevant to the issue. Even trendlines can be faulty, but those 2 points I just made are facts. There's no reason to panic, and there's no reason to be complacent. A slow, steady march toward reducing pollution and carbon emissions is a good step, regardless of the details.
Found the Abstract: Science 4 July 2008:
Vol. 321. no. 5885, pp. 111 - 113
DOI: 10.1126/science.1158540
Reports
Large and Rapid Melt-Induced Velocity Changes in the Ablation Zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet
R. S. W. van de Wal, W. Boot, M. R. van den Broeke, C. J. P. P. Smeets, C. H. Reijmer, J. J. A. Donker, J. Oerlemans
Continuous Global Positioning System observations reveal rapid and large ice velocity fluctuations in the western ablation zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Within days, ice velocity reacts to increased meltwater production and increases by a factor of 4. Such a response is much stronger and much faster than previously reported. Over a longer period of 17 years, annual ice velocities have decreased slightly, which suggests that the englacial hydraulic system adjusts constantly to the variable meltwater input, which results in a more or less constant ice flux over the years. The positive-feedback mechanism between melt rate and ice velocity appears to be a seasonal process that may have only a limited effect on the response of the ice sheet to climate warming over the next decades.
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Netherlands.
Link
It's often hard to come to a conclusion based on a news report about a paper, but one scientist (a proponent of the lubricating effect bearing his name, of course) did point out that the data are averaged over 17 years, and that the most significant melting has been over the last 5 years. But I'd have to check out the figures to see how they base their conclusion about the reduction of ice loss - that seems to be different from other reports looking at all of Greenland. This is an important topic and the mechanisms of ice loss (besides just melting) and non-linear feedbacks are worth study. Oh wait, not according to Woody.
More information here. The net loss in volume and hence sea level contribution of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) has doubled in recent years from 90 to 220 cubic kilometers/year has been noted recently (Rignot and Kanagaratnam, 2007). The main cause of this increase is the acceleration of several large outlet glaciers. There has also been an alarming increase in the number of photographs of meltwater draining into a moulin somewhere on the GIS, often near Swiss Camp (35 km inland from the calving front). The story goes - warmer temperatures, more surface melting, more meltwater draining through moulins to glacier base, lubricating glacier bed, reducing friction, increasing velocity, and finally raising sea level. Examining this issue two years RealClimate suggested this was likely the correct story. A number of recent results suggest that we need to take another look at this story.
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
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07/08/2008 06:31 PM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: Kast
quote:
Originally posted by: Woody83
It's the crooked world we live in. Both sides will pay big bucks for research to get the answer they want. Manipulation of statistics on all sides. The only people I have a problem with are those who are hell bent on swearing it is man made warming when there is just the same 'research' to say it's not.
For fun look for the articles comparing Gore's home to Bush's.
No one will pay big bucks for falsified research supporting global warming. There's no economic motivation for it. But there's a major economic motivation to falsify research disproving it.
Woody, do you have any idea how this research is funded? Kast is right that falsification is a big no-no. Researchers who get caught lose funding, standing and usually employment. I've seen it happen.
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
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07/08/2008 08:33 PM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: John
This is weird.
This pretty much explains it: But for Shasta, about 270 miles north of San Francisco, scientists say a warming Pacific Ocean means more moist air. On the mountain, precipitation falls as snow, adding to the glaciers enough to overcome a 1.8 degree Fahrenheit rise in temperature in the last century, scientists say.
Glacier dynamics is a function of snowfall and temperature.
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
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07/08/2008 08:43 PM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: John
quote:
Originally posted by: Deech56
Glacier dynamics is a function of snowfall and temperature.
Yea, I know, just thought it was weird that every where else they are melting and not here.
My California geography is a bit rusty - is Mt. Shasta (or its glaciers, I guess) in a unique location where this effect would be more pronounced? Too tired to Google.
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
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07/08/2008 08:45 PM
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Deech56

Posts: 11923
Joined: 07/28/2005
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quote:
Originally posted by: Deech56
My California geography is a bit rusty - is Mt. Shasta (or its glaciers, I guess) in a unique location where this effect would be more pronounced? Too tired to Google.
Apparently too tired to even read the article - it's closer to the coast in the Cascades. Doh!
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The climate system is an angry beast and we are poking it with sticks. - Wallace S. Broecker Nature isn't just the final authority, Nature is the Only authority. - Charles B. Paul Elitist windbag since 2004.
Edited: 07/08/2008 at 08:45 PM by Deech56
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