Coronavirus

This illustration, created at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, reveals ultrastructural morphology exhibited by coronaviruses.

As Maryland prepares to move into its next phase of reopening, it made incremental gains against the novel coronavirus Wednesday.

The number of new cases, current hospitalizations and the seven-day rolling positivity rate all declined from the previous day, according to the Maryland Department of Health.

There were 456 new cases reported between 10 a.m. Tuesday and 10 a.m. Wednesday, a much smaller increase than the 614 that were reported the previous day.

The number of confirmed cases in Maryland now stands at 109,319, including 3,513 in Frederick County.

New cases went up by eight in the county, which is five fewer than Tuesday’s increase.

Current hospitalizations also saw a modest decline, dipping by 15 to 370 overall.

That includes 113 patients in intensive care, an increase of one from the previous day.

At Frederick Health Hospital, there were two COVID-19 patients, including one in intensive care for a third consecutive day.

Meanwhile, the death toll in the state climbed by six to 3,623. In Frederick County, it remained at 118 for fourth consecutive day.

As the state conducted more than 12,000 tests over the past 24 hours, the seven-day positivity rate, a rolling average of positive results as a percentage of all tests, dipped from 3.39 percent to 3.36 percent.

In Frederick County, it fell sharply from 2.49 percent to 2.12 percent.

Gov. Larry Hogan cited improving metrics across the state Tuesday for allowing Maryland to move into Phase Three of his Roadmap to Recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

At 5 p.m. Friday, all businesses in the state will be permitted to open with some restrictions and health protocols in place.

Movie theaters and live-entertainment venues can open at 50 percent capacity, while retail stores and Houses of Worship can expand their occupancy from 50 to 75 percent.

The number of Maryland residents who have been released from isolation since the pandemic began surpassed 7,000 Wednesday. It now stands at 7,026.

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(24) comments

vodalone

Pretty amusing but also sad to see some here so negative when any positive metrics are released about this virus. [rolleyes]

NewMarketParent

@vodalone

What comments are you seeing here that are negative?

People are legitimately concerned that reopening the state is going to cause us to overrun our hospitals.

vodalone

It's a phased reopening, not a complete back to normal reopening. There are still guidelines and regulations which have to be followed. It's a give and take with this virus, total shutdowns are not an option. BTW even at the height of this pandemic, not a single hospital in MD was overrun. Currently in Frederick Co. there are two, TWO, Covid patients.

NewMarketParent

@vodalone

I completely understand that it is a phased approach. The problem is that one of the reasons that we have been able to keep our numbers low is that we have had a fairly successful approach to shutting down and keeping closed. Frederick county specifically is doing really well because of 2 big things we have going for us.

1. We are a mostly rural county. People are spread out already.

2. In general, many are following guidelines for distancing and wearing masks

3. Many of our institutions have shifted to provide virtual services

The concern is that this thing can spike pretty quickly if we move too soon. The original spikes happened pretty quickly and we have seen what can happen (see Italy and NY). There is a balance to be struck and it seems like that balance should take into account population density as a big component of our protection strategy is distance. It doesn't seem to. The places in the state that have gotten hit the hardest are places with a lot higher population density. So, a better plan would be to use the existing guidelines from the CDC and tailor them to take that into account. It seems like we really haven't put in the work to be smarter about our phased approach than to just run in with guns blazing.

vodalone

@newmarketparent I don't know if you've been to NYC lately, but I have close family who lives there and aside from the tourist areas of Manhattan, people are out and about at parks, eating at restaurants, socializing, etc. and no resurgence of the virus. In fact they're opening schools on September 21 for in person learning 3 days a week. NYC is in stage 4 of reopening. NYC is a very densely populated area and a perfect example reopening is possible in a gradual and safe way like here in Maryland.

NewMarketParent

And I never held up NYC as a beacon of what is possible. People have just given up. I haven't..

Also in WAPO today:

Cardiac MRI scans revealed that roughly a third of Big Ten athletes who tested positive for the coronavirus appear to have myocarditis, according to Penn State’s director of athletic medicine. - https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2020/09/03/big-ten-coronavirus-myocarditis/?itid=lk_inline_manual_11

NewMarketParent

@vodalone

Also from the WAPO:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/national/coronavirus-us-cases-deaths/?itid=sn_coronavirus_2/

The average daily death toll had declined from more than 2,000 per day in April to 456 per day in early July. But as people began to resume more normal activities, new covid-19 cases soared, and deaths soon followed.

By August the virus was killing an average of more than 1,000 people each day.

DickD

If there is one thing I don't need to do, it is going to the movies.

bosco

You've got that right, DickD. I can get Netflix for a month for what one ticket to a movie costs. Come to think of it, we've found several things we don't need to do.

[thumbup][ninja]

phydeaux994

Do you wear a mask when you’re sitting at your computer all day every day Trolling the FNP Opinion Forum??? 😷✌️

NewMarketParent

@phydeaux994

Bosco wears full body latex, just to be safe.

DickD

[beam] I have to admit, you are amusing at times, Bosco. lol

bosco

See folks, it's up it's down, it's up it's down, it's up it's down.

Wear a mask when required and wash your hands.

The virus is here to stay.

[ninja]

NewMarketParent

@bosco

If what it's up/down, up/down... wouldn't conventional wisdom say that we do what we are currently doing or even not change things drastically?

I mean what is the first rule when you find yourself in a hole?

vodalone

March/April total shutdown didn't change things as much as we'd hoped either, in fact it made things much worse in many other aspects of life.

DickD

Funny that you can see that, Boscoand your cult hero Donald Trump doesn't. Ironic not funny.

bosco

Cult hero....did you think that all up on your own, DickD? At least Bidenz plan on what he woulda done pretty much mirrors Trump's. More plagiarism from your cult hero. [ninja]

DickD

Nothing worse than the wilfully blind, Bosco. [tongue]

bosco

Here is some light reading for you DickD, a timeline to see what Trump and Biden said when during the developing pandemic.

https://www.procon.org/background-resources/coronavirus-timeline-of-comments-by-trump-and-biden-with-background-and-context/

[ninja]

vodalone

@bosco All some people have is a broad general attack completely unrelated to a specific subject at hand. They don't critically think about the issue, just tag up to their team because it's easier. That goes for Left or Right.

gabrielshorn2013

Agreed bosco. Daily results will bounce around, but longer term results, such as a 7 day moving average tend to be more stable for trending purposes. The positivity rate from a statistically significant sample size is more meaningful.

bosco

Yep. The resident contrarians just like to complain or make it all about Trump.

[ninja]

NewMarketParent

@gabrielshorn2013

You mean that thing that I mentioned to bosco several days ago on another thread where he keeps talking about the daily numbers going up/down? I agree. Daily numbers are almost meaningless, it is the trend. Probably the best way to determine when we should go back would be when the rate of declining cases can overwhelm the rate of spread. Unfortunately, the only way I see that happening realistically is if we get a vaccine. I am open to another way of interpreting the numbers if you have one.

gabrielshorn2013

This was all discussed before you joined us NMP. Bosco is actually agreeing with you. Daily numbers are meaningless. Tracking the positivity rate has merit. If people were responsible, and followed the guidelines (distance, no crowds, wash hands, wear mask) then Rsub0 would be less than 1, and the disease would burn itself out. However, human nature being what it is (and we are not authoritarian China who can force compliance) folks think it will never be them. Well surprise, there are no mulligans. UNC Chapel Hill is a shining example with 31% of the population there positive now due to their own carelessness. A safe and effective vaccine will help, of course.

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